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Dallas-Fort Worth is again near the top of a shopping list for commercial property investors — behind only Los Angeles in a new survey. For the third year in a row, commercial real estate firm CBRE ranked D-FW second nationally in its survey of property investors. Houston also made the top 10.

Investors said industrial and warehouse buildings and apartments were their most targeted properties for 2019.
 

 

"We are seeing unprecedented investor interest for industrial and logistics properties in Dallas-Fort Worth coming not only from U.S. investors but also global capital from Asia, primarily Singapore, Europe, and the Middle East," Randy Baird, CBRE executive vice president of Industrial & Logistics, said in the report. "D-FW is capturing the interest of all forms of capital because we are at a central point in the U.S. supply chain, we have a pro-business environment with a low cost of doing business, and we have nation-leading population growth. 
"Investors are attracted not only by the current market fundamentals, which are stronger than ever but by the long-term view that D-FW and Texas as a whole will continue to outpace the country in population and job growth, translating to long-term asset appreciation.  "Only 1 in 10 of the investors CBRE polled said they planned to acquire office buildings this year. And only 9 percent said they were shopping for retail properties.  While 98 percent of the real estate industry execs CBRE surveyed said they planned to make property acquisitions this year, more investors indicated they would be more cautious in their buys."Pricing is at or near the previous peak for most asset types in prime locations, so investors are seeking yield in secondary markets and alternative asset types," said Chris Ludeman, Global President of Capital Markets for CBRE.  CBRE surveyed investors in November and December for the annual report. 
 After Los Angeles and D-FW, the real estate markets that investors are most hot on are Washington, D.C., San Francisco, Seattle, Denver and Atlanta.  When asked to list their top concerns for the real estate market this year, investors most often mentioned a global economic shock, rising interest rates and a property price bubble.  CBRE's annual investor poll is just the latest industry snapshot in which D-FW won high marks. Last fall, the Urban Land Institute and PriceWaterhouse Coopers identified D-FW as the top market for 2019 real estate investment and development activity.
 

Report: Dallas-Fort Worth home prices least likely to drop

by Christie Cannon

 

Report: Dallas-Fort Worth home prices least likely to drop

07:30 AM CST on Wednesday, January 16, 2008

By STEVE BROWN / The Dallas Morning News

Dallas-Fort Worth's housing market is the least likely of any in the country to see a decrease in home values, a new report confirms.

At the same time, the chances of a house price decline rose in almost four out of five U.S. markets, according to a report released Tuesday by mortgage insurance firm PMI Group.

Dallas and Fort Worth ranked dead last in PMI Group's latest forecast of cities with the biggest chance for a home price shakeout.

Analysts with the California-based company estimate that Dallas-Fort Worth has less than a 1 percent chance of marked home price drops in the next two years.

By comparison, cities in California, Nevada and Arizona have more than an 80 percent likelihood of falling residential values.

"We're seeing an increasingly polarized market," PMI economist David Berson said in a news release.

"The risk that home prices will be lower in two years has increased for many of the largest cities in the nation, although areas that saw only moderate home price gains during the 2002-to-2005 period still generally have low risks of price declines," he said.

That's certainly the case in Dallas-Fort Worth, where home price appreciation during the last five years has been a fraction of the national average.

"Because Texas did not participate in the double-digit home price gains in the first half of the decade, it doesn't have to take the great pain of the areas that are compensating for that now," Mr. Berson said in an interview.

Now that the housing sector is in a slump, home values in North Texas have been relatively flat while they are falling in many other major U.S. cities.

In 2007, the median price of homes sold through the North Texas Realtors' multiple listing service was up 1 percent from 2006.

Texas markets – including the D-FW area – were also less affected by investors who ran up prices in some cities, Mr. Berson said.

And most Texas cities are outpacing the rest of the country in overall economics, he said.

"The state economy is doing pretty well, and job growth is above the national average," Mr. Berson said.

"It's quite likely Texas will be doing better than the national average for the foreseeable future," he said.

The D-FW area has gotten high marks in the PMI risk report before.

And other national surveys show that North Texas' housing market is outperforming those in the rest of the country.

Even so, pre-owned home sales were down about 8 percent last year, and sales of new homes fell about 17 percent in 2007.

Foreclosure rates also continue to rise.

Analysts are therefore keeping a close eye on D-FW home prices for signs of deterioration.

"I can't argue with the PMI risk assessment, but it doesn't mean that it still couldn't happen – just not as likely as elsewhere," said Dr. James Gaines, an economist with Texas A&M University's Real Estate Center. "So far, most Texas markets are doing well.

"The metroplex probably will do well to have positive overall appreciation, but pockets within the metroplex will have a rough time for a while."

Indeed, Mr. Berson said, the Texas housing market isn't bulletproof.

"There are no sure things," he said.

"It's possible that some parts of Texas will see some declines in the near term."

But overall, the outlook for the local housing market is good, he said.

 

HOW RISKY IS THE HOUSING MARKET?

 

Markets with the most and least risk of a home price decline, based on price appreciation, economic growth and affordability according to PMI Group, one of the country's largest mortgage insurance firms. An index of 100 means there is a 100 percent chance of home prices falling in the next two years.

 

MOST RISKY

 

Riverside, Calif. 94

Las Vegas 89

Phoenix 83

Santa Ana, Calif. 81

Los Angeles 79

 

LEAST RISKY

 

Fort Worth Less than 1

Dallas Less than 1

Pittsburgh Less than 1

Houston Less than 1

San Antonio Less than 1

SOURCE: PMI Group

 

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Photo of Christie Cannon Real Estate
Christie Cannon
Keller Williams Realty
4783 Preston Road #300
Frisco TX 75034
972-215-7747
Fax: 214-853-4774
Keller Williams Frisco - The Christie Cannon Team - http://www.christiecannon.com

 

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